Clevta's Personal NFL Track Record

Clevta has been handicapping the NFL including matchups, stats and league-wide trends for over 20 years.  His knowledge has been on display on twitter for over a decade and has been fully transparent with his results. Using a background in Finance and marrying that with a deep knowledge of the NFL, he has strived to uncover value opportunities. In addition, Clevta has been a regular contestant in the Westgate NFL Supercontest, Circa Millions and Survivor contests. Since entering his first ATS contest in 2013, he has generated a 55% win record on nearly 1,000 selections. In the last 10 years, he has produced four separate seasons finishing 60% or better ATS and placing 94th percentile or higher among thousands of contestants. Clevta is very thoughtful in his process and strives to make the most informed decisions he can.

If you subscribe to the NFL Premium package and are doing so just for “picks” please do not subscribe. No results are guaranteed to be profitable and the only goal of the site is to supply readers with deep NFL analysis to help you make more informed and thoughtful decisions while helping develop your own process. We take this very seriously and the goal is to help subscribers become smarter about evaluating the NFL in whatever capacity the subscriber wants or needs. The value from the site are never “picks” but instead the abundance of data and analysis to help you become smarter about the NFL.

Clevta’s Personal NFL Track Record

Betstamp verified since 2022 

 

ATS Pick’em Track Record

(picking every 2024 NFL regular season and Playoff game against the spread using the Circa Millions weekly frozen lines)

YTD 2024 ATS Pick ’em pool selections for subscribers: 51.3%
2023 ATS Pick ’em pool selections: 53.2%
2022 ATS Pick’em pool selections: 52%
55% Lifetime Westgate Supercontest and Circa Millions Pick 5 ATS Contest
(Detailed Track Record Below):
    • Four separate seasons finishing 60% or better and placing 94th percentile or higher since 2013
    • Only two seasons generating lower than a 53% ATS percentage in a decade of contests.
    • Three top 100 contest finishes in the last nine years.
 
 

Circa Millions/Westgate Supercontest Historical Results:

  • 2024 YTD: 14-11 ATS (56%)

 

* Note: Track record above includes ATS contest record when entered. Did not enter 2020 contest due to Covid, but instead posted weekly picks on twitter (correctly hit 54%). While Clevta’s process is similar to in years past, please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.

 

Personal Track Record:

2024 YTD NFL Season: 35-35 (50%), -5.1 units
2023 NFL Season: 162-145 (52.8%), +0.9 units
    • 84% of sides with positive or neutral closing line value (“CLV”)
    • Positive CLV in 57% of games involving ATS sides
    • Positive CLV in 65% of games involving key numbers of 3,7 and 10
    • Only negative CLV in 13% of games involving 3,7 and 10
 
2022 NFL Season Total Return: +10.7 Units
  • 2022 Regular Season NFL ATS/Totals/Props: 52%, +8.1 units, +3.1% ROI

    • Beat closing line in 63% of all sides and 71% of all games involving key numbers

    • Only 11% of all personal wagers produced negative CLV in 2022

    • Player props were Clevta’s most profitable personal category in 2022: 62%, +28.1% ROI

    • Totals were Clevta’s worst performing “sector” in 2022: 43%, -13.7% ROI

  • 2022 Playable Futures: +6.5 units

 
2021 Regular Season and Playoffs: 54%, +8.7 units
    • Beat closing line in 68% of ATS sides involving the key numbers of 3, 7, 10 and 14 in 2021

    • Only 29% of all personal plays produced negative CLV in 2021

 
2020 Regular Season (Twitter Posts): 54%, +4.1 units
 
2024 NFL Personal Play Tracker (0.5 unit plays or higher for W/L record)

 

WeekWagerTypeSpreadJuiceSourceRiskTo WinW/LUnits W/L
1JAX/MIA Over49-112DK-1.121.00L-1.12
1CLE/DALUnder43-111DK-1.111.00L-1.11
1CHI/TENOver43-110BOL-1.101.00L-1.10
1WASATS+3.5-115FD-1.151.00L-1.15
1CAR ATS+4.5-112DK-1.121.00L-1.12
1SF ATS-3.5-117BOL-1.171.00W+1.00
1ATL TT UTT U23.5-130BOL-1.301.00W+1.00
1BAL/KC 1H U1H U23.5-116Bookmaker-1.161.00W+1.00
1Bateman first TDAlt Prop2600BOL-0.102.60L-0.10
1Justice Hill over rec ydsProp10.5-114BOL-0.570.50W+0.50
1MINATS-1.5-111BOL-1.111.00W+1.00
1Pollard over rec ydsProp10.5-120DK-0.600.50W+0.50
1Jefferson over rec ydsProp83.5-115DK-0.860.75L-0.86
1Lawrence over pass ydsProp253.5-110FD-0.550.50L-0.55
1Lawrence most pass ydsAlt Prop1300FD-0.101.30L-0.10
1Swift most rush ydsAlt Prop3700FD-0.103.70L-0.10
1Kyler over rush ydsProp32.5-110BOL-0.550.50W+0.50
1Foreman first tdAlt Prop2200DK-0.102.20L-0.10
1Montgomery 1st TDAlt Prop550DK-0.201.10L-0.20
1Montgomery over rush ydsProp57.5-117Bookmaker-0.880.75W+0.75
2DETATS-6-112DK-1.121.00L-1.12
2CLEATS3.5-120BOL-1.201.00W+1.00
2Las VegasATS10-120BOL-1.201.00W+1.00
2TENATS3.5-110DK-1.651.50L-1.65
2MIA/BUF 1H Under1H U24-117Bookmaker-1.171.00L-1.17
2Jonnu Rec Yds OverProp14.5-115DK-0.580.50W+0.50
2Jonnu 1st TDAlt Prop2200FD-0.102.20L-0.10
2NYGATS1.5-106BOL-1.061.00L-1.06
2INDATS-2.5-118DK-1.181.00L-1.18
2PHI/ATL underUnder47-115BOL-1.151.00W+1.00
2Kamara over rec ydsProp29.5-110FD-0.550.50W+0.50
2Kamara alt over rec ydsAlt Prop50255DK-0.200.51W+0.51
2Amon-Ra over rec ydsProp83.5-115Bookmaker-0.860.75W+0.75
2Pollard over rush ydsProp51.5-115DK-0.580.50W+0.50
2Parkinson Over rec ydsProp30.5-115DK-0.860.75L-0.86
2Mixon anytime TDProp-130DK-0.980.75L-0.98
2Mixon 1st TDAlt Prop460FD-0.251.15L-0.25
2Bijan rec yds overProp31.5-111Bookmaker-0.830.75L-0.83
2Bijan alt rec yds overAlt Prop50+270FD-0.200.54L-0.20
3CIN/WAS overOver48-110BOL-1.651.50W+1.50
3Tampa ATS-6.5-115Bookmaker-1.731.50L-1.73
3NYJATS-6-110BOL-1.101.00W+1.00
3BALATS-1-108Bookmaker-1.081.00W+1.00
3EaglesATS3-121Bookmaker-1.211.00W+1.00
3RamsATS7-125BOL-1.251.00W+1.00
3TENATS-2.5-118DK-1.181.00L-1.18
3DEN (TB buyback)ATS6.5-109BOL-0.550.50W+0.50
3ARI/DET underUnder52-110BOL-1.101.00W+1.00
3Amari over rec yardsProp49.5-120DK-0.600.50W+0.50
3Amari alt over rec yardsAlt Prop110850FD-0.100.85L-0.10
3Nailor over rec yardsProp36.5-112BOL-0.560.50L-0.56
3Z White over rush yardsAlt Prop63.5-114BOL-0.570.50L-0.57
3Z White most rush yardsProp2700FD-0.102.70L-0.10
3Henry over rush yardsProp69.5-120DK-0.900.75W+0.75
3Mcloud 1st TDAlt Prop2100BOL-0.102.10L-0.10
4Kyler most pass yardsAlt Prop1500FD-0.203.00L-0.2
4MVS 1st TDAlt Prop4400FD-0.104.40L-0.1
4Andrews 1st TDAlt Prop1700FD-0.101.70L-0.1
4JacksonvilleATS+7-115DK-1.731.50W+1.5
4AtlantaATS-1.5-108Bookmaker-1.081.00W+1.0
4CincinnatiATS-4.5-110BOL-1.101.00W+1.0
4CLEATS-1.5-110FD-1.101.00L-1.1
4CHI/SF ML ML Parlay-105DK-1.051.00W+1.0
4Wa'ndale over rec ydsProp36.5-110DK-0.830.75W+0.8
4Pitts rec yards overProp36.5-113FD-0.570.50L-0.6
4Conklin over rec yardsProp25.5-115DK-0.580.50L-0.6
4Darnold over pass attProp31.5-114FD-0.860.75L-0.9
4Josh Allen over pass yardsProp234.5-110DK-0.830.75L-0.8
4KC -2.5/TB +8.5 Tease-120BOL-1.801.50W+1.5
4ARI Team TotalTT O26.5-120FD-1.201.00L-1.2
4Achane over rush yardsProp61.5-115DK-0.860.75L-0.9
4Jonnu 1st TDAlt Prop2500DK-0.102.50L-0.1
4Jonnu Any Time TDAlt Prop600DK-0.201.20L-0.2
4Montgomery over rush ydsProp63.5-110FD-0.550.50L-0.6
4Montgomery alt over rushAlt Prop100340FD-0.100.34L-0.1
5Harris 1st TDAlt Prop500BOL-0.201.00L-0.2
5Mundt 1st TDAlt Prop2700FD-0.102.70L-0.1
5Bo Melton alt over rec ydsAlt Prop100+1400FD-0.101.40L-0.1
5Bo Melton 1st TDAlt Prop1800BOL-0.101.80L-0.1
5Johnson 1st TDAlt Prop2200DK-0.102.20L-0.1
5CLEATS3.5-115DK-1.731.50L-1.7
5PittsburghATS-2.5-110DK-1.101.00L-1.1
5Pittsburgh ATS AddATS-2.5-111Bookmaker-0.560.50L-0.6
5AtlantaATS-1.5-110DK-1.101.00W+1.0
5ArizonaATS7.5-115DK-1.151.00W+1.0
5MIA ATSML-110DK-1.101.00W+1.0
5Aaron Jones rec yds overProp25.5-110FD-0.830.75L-0.8
5Bo Melton over rec ydsProp30.5-110FD-0.830.75L-0.8
5Harris over rush yardsProp68.5-131Bookmaker-0.660.50L-0.7
5Samuel over rec yardsProp32.5-114 BOL-0.570.50L-0.6
5Burrow over pass attsProp35.5-120DK-0.900.75W+0.8
5J Johnson over rec ydsProp20.5-120DK-0.900.75W+0.8
5GB Team Total OverTT O26.5-110FD-1.101.00L-1.1
6SFATS-3-115DK-1.151.00W+1.0
6DallasATS3.5-120BOL-1.201.00L-1.2
6PhillyATS-8.5-110DK-1.101.00L-1.1
6NYJATS2.5-108BOL-1.081.00
6ArizonaATS5.5-114Bookmaker-1.141.00L-1.1
6BaltimoreATS-6.5-115BOL-1.151.00W+1.0
6Kittle over rec yardsATS49.5-120DK-0.600.50W+0.5
6Kittle 1st TDAlt Prop1000DK-0.101.00L-0.1
6JacksonvilleATS-0.5102Bookmaker-1.001.02L-1.0
6CarolinaATS6.5-118BOL-1.181.00L-1.2
6Engram 1st TDAlt Prop1500BOL-0.101.50L-0.1
6Henry over rush yardsProp87.5-110FD-0.550.50W+0.5
6McBride over rec yardsProp49.5-115BOL-0.580.50W+0.5
6Tolbert over rec yardsProp46.5-110FD-0.550.50L-0.6
6Tolbert alt over Alt Prop100610FD-0.201.22L-0.2
6Moss rush yards overProp42.5-110DK-0.830.75L-0.8
 
 

Contest Track Record Source:

https://fantasysupercontest.com/search?q=Clevta2