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Weekly DFS Analysis

 

 

Player Stats & DFS Analysis by Position Groups

On a Per Game Basis

Draftkings Salaries

OWN% = Projected Ownership on Draftkings

(Sortable Tables)

 
To perform advanced searches on player stats from 2025 click here

NOTE: Draftkings Sunday Main Slate

Top Plays: TA’s favorite plays no matter price or ownership. These are likely to be anchors in his lineups.

Value Plays: Best overall values among players with lower projected ownership (<10%)

DK Points Allowed by Position (Week 9)

Quarterback

PLAYER TEAM OPP SALARY OWN% FPTS G PASS ATT CMP% PASS YDS PASS TDS INT SACKS AIR YDS RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TDS
J.Allen BUF KC 7300 11.6% 22.4 7 28.14 68.0% 222.9 1.7 0.6 2.0 215.0 7.0 37.3 0.7
P.Mahomes KC BUF 7100 19.5% 24.5 8 35.25 67.0% 262.4 2.1 0.5 1.8 267.4 5.8 35.0 0.5
J.Herbert LAC TEN 6800 2.8% 20.1 8 37.00 67.9% 267.5 2.0 0.9 2.8 283.4 4.6 31.0 0.0
D.Maye NE ATL 6500 9.2% 21.7 8 28.25 75.2% 253.2 1.9 0.4 3.5 223.2 6.4 31.2 0.2
B.Nix DEN HOU 6400 0.1% 20.2 8 35.62 62.8% 225.4 1.9 0.6 1.0 259.0 4.9 21.4 0.4
M.Stafford LA NO 6300 0.2% 19.2 7 34.57 66.1% 266.6 2.4 0.3 1.6 302.6 2.4 −0.3 0.0
D.Jones IND PIT 6200 2.9% 20.4 8 30.38 71.2% 257.8 1.6 0.4 1.1 254.2 3.8 10.8 0.5
J.Love GB CAR 6100 1.7% 18.7 7 30.43 70.9% 256.9 1.9 0.3 1.4 227.7 3.6 15.6 0.0
J.Goff DET MIN 6000 3.5% 16.8 7 29.00 74.9% 233.0 2.1 0.4 1.9 190.0 1.6 3.3 0.0
A.Rodgers PIT IND 5800 0.1% 16.8 7 29.71 68.3% 212.7 2.3 0.7 1.7 183.9 1.6 2.6 0.0
C.Williams CHI CIN 5700 4.9% 16.9 7 31.86 61.9% 233.7 1.3 0.6 1.7 262.4 5.0 18.6 0.3
J.Flacco CIN CHI 5600 0.7% 13.6 7 40.86 60.8% 228.4 1.3 0.9 1.9 284.1 1.9 4.3 0.1
B.Purdy SF NYG 5500 0.0% 17.2 2 36.50 65.8% 293.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 283.0 3.5 15.0 0.0
T.Lawrence JAX LV 5400 4.1% 16.0 7 37.00 58.7% 231.4 1.3 0.7 2.9 299.0 4.3 16.1 0.3
B.Young CAR GB 5300 0.0% 13.2 7 32.00 61.6% 184.0 1.6 0.7 1.6 207.7 2.6 9.9 0.1
J.Dart NYG SF 5200 29.2% 15.3 7 20.29 59.9% 140.6 1.1 0.4 2.4 180.1 6.1 27.9 0.6
C.Stroud HOU DEN 5100 0.9% 16.7 7 33.14 66.8% 231.9 1.6 0.7 2.1 257.9 3.9 25.3 0.0
M.Jones SF NYG 5000 0.2% 15.3 6 37.67 65.9% 266.2 1.3 0.8 2.3 280.3 3.8 9.5 0.0
J.McCarthy MIN DET 4900 2.1% 12.5 2 20.50 58.5% 150.5 1.0 1.5 4.5 184.5 3.5 25.0 0.5
C.Wentz MIN DET 4800 0.0% 14.1 5 33.80 65.1% 243.2 1.2 1.0 3.8 257.6 2.2 11.4 0.0
M.Penix ATL NE 4800 0.9% 13.1 6 32.50 61.0% 234.8 0.8 0.5 1.5 263.2 2.8 7.2 0.2
K.Cousins ATL NE 4700 0.0% 4.1 2 19.00 68.4% 101.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 147.5 1.0 1.0 0.0
G.Smith LV JAX 4600 4.9% 10.6 7 28.86 65.8% 202.4 1.0 1.4 2.7 199.3 3.1 10.3 0.0
C.Ward TEN LAC 4500 0.1% 8.3 8 34.25 57.7% 201.9 0.6 0.8 4.2 264.0 2.0 5.0 0.0
S.Rattler NO LAR 4400 0.0% 12.4 8 32.00 68.0% 198.2 1.0 0.6 2.2 253.2 3.9 20.9 0.0
T.Shough NO LAR 4400 0.3% 2.2 2 16.00 53.1% 64.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 137.0 1.5 6.0 0.0
A.Dalton CAR GB 4300 0.0% 2.4 4 9.25 67.6% 73.2 0.2 0.2 2.0 87.0 1.2 −0.5 0.0
K.Pickett LV JAX 4100 0.0% −1.7 1 2.00 100.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0
R.Wilson NYG SF 4000 0.0% 9.4 5 22.40 58.9% 157.2 0.6 0.6 1.6 207.4 3.2 18.8 0.0
J.Garoppolo LA NO 4000 0.0% −0.3 1 0.00
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 −3.0 0.0
M.Trubisky BUF KC 4000 0.0% 0.9 2 3.00 50.0% 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 1.5 −1.5 0.0
J.Dobbs NE ATL 4000 0.0% 0.0 2 1.00 50.0% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 2.5 −2.0 0.0
K.Allen DET MIN 4000 0.0% −0.2 1 0.00
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 −2.0 0.0
M.Rudolph PIT IND 4000 0.0% 0.2 2 1.00 100.0% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 −1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0
J.Browning CIN CHI 4000 0.0% 12.0 4 31.00 64.5% 189.2 1.5 2.0 2.2 237.5 2.2 9.8 0.2
J.Stidham DEN HOU 4000 0.0% −0.1 1 0.00
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 −1.0 0.0
G.Minshew KC BUF 4000 0.0% −0.3 2 0.00
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 −3.0 0.0
J.Burrow CIN CHI 4000 0.0% 7.9 2 18.00 58.3% 94.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 123.5 1.0 1.5 0.0
D.Mills HOU DEN 4000 0.0% 1.2 1 4.00 50.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.0 3.0 3.0 0.0
T.Lance LAC TEN 4000 0.0% 2.9 1 4.00 75.0% 44.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 1.0 11.0 0.0
T.Bagent CHI CIN 4000 0.0% 1.8 1 3.00 66.7% 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 2.0 7.0 0.0
A.Richardson IND PIT 4000 0.0% 1.1 2 1.00 50.0% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5 2.0 −0.5 0.0
R.Leonard IND PIT 4000 0.0% 0.1 1 2.00 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0
M.Brosmer MIN DET 4000 0.0% 0.5 3 2.67 62.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 −0.3 0.0
W.Howard PIT IND 4000 0.0%











G.Mertz HOU DEN 4000 0.0%











K.Rourke SF NYG 4000 0.0%











Top Plays:

Daniel Jones ($6200)- The Steelers are the only defense in the league to allow opposing QBs to throw for more yards on them than they average on the season. They’ve allowed nearly 90 yards more passing than those QBs have averaged in aggregate. 75% of Jones games have gone over opposing defenses averages as well so there is no reason not to think Jones can continue this as well.  I have the over in this game and do think the Steelers can keep up so no reason to believe Jones and the Colts take their foot off the gas as they have had to do so many times this season. Stacking Jones with Warren where the Steelers struggle vs TEs is a good one.

 

Caleb Williams ($5700)– In what feels like a weekly tradition, Caleb is on this list yet again. All the Bears do is play in shootouts and they get maybe the worst defense in the NFL in the Bengals. This total is 51.5 and there is no reason that Caleb can’t throw all over this defense like Fields did last week. The Bengals have allowed 88% of opposing QBs to throw for more yards than their season average and 100% of QBs went over their seasonal attempt figure. 

 

Value Plays:

Aaron Rodgers ($5800)- Rodgers has been pretty solid this season and is likely in a shootout vs a dangerous Colts team with a total in the low 50s. On the surface, the Colts defense looks ok and only allow the 17th most DK points to QBs. But when you dig deeper you will see that they’ve faced the single easiest schedule of opposing QBs and adjusted for opposing QBs, the Colts have allowed the 6th most DK points vs expected to QBs. In fact, 75% of opposing starting QBs have scored more DK points than their season average against this Colts defense.

 

Michael Penix ($4800)- Absolutely nobody will click on Penix and totally get it. But the Patriots are a pass funnel defense with their elite run D so Penix likely will need to throw to win this game. He has actually produced good yardage totals this season (26 pass yards over expected) vs a bunch of run funnel defenses. Vs a similar pass funnel like the Patriots in the Bucs, Penix threw for 298 yards and 24 DK points. The Falcons have been a top 10 unit on offense outside of the red zone but things have bogged down and are bottom five in TD% in the red zone. If he can get some positive TD regression he can really blossom. Penix ranks #1 among all QBs in % of non TD fantasy points.

Runningbacks

PLAYER TEAM OPP SALARY OWN% FPTS G RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TDS FMBL REC TGTS REC YDS REC TDS REC AIR YDS REC YAC TGT SHR AIR YD SHR
J.Taylor IND PIT 9800 14.5% 27.1 8 17.9 106.2 1.5 0.0 3.1 3.4 25.8 0.25 −4.2 30.1 11.2% −1.6%
C.McCaffrey SF NYG 8800 30.8% 24.6 8 17.5 61.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 9.2 69.9 0.38 24.9 55.2 25.8% 9.1%
B.Robinson ATL NE 8700 9.8% 21.6 7 15.1 78.4 0.3 0.3 4.7 6.0 59.0 0.29 6.9 55.1 18.5% 2.6%
J.Gibbs DET MIN 8000 15.3% 20.0 7 14.9 75.1 0.9 0.0 3.7 4.0 27.7 0.14 −1.6 31.9 14.4% −0.9%
J.Jacobs GB CAR 7700 16.1% 19.5 7 17.7 63.9 1.3 0.1 2.7 3.3 27.3 0.00 −5.0 31.0 13.4% −3.7%
J.Cook BUF KC 7200 8.7% 19.7 7 18.0 107.6 1.0 0.1 1.7 2.0 12.7 0.00 −1.0 14.1 9.4% −0.6%
K.Williams LA NO 6800 14.3% 15.7 7 15.3 67.4 0.3 0.3 2.9 3.7 23.7 0.43 10.3 12.7 10.9% 4.1%
A.Jeanty LV JAX 6700 11.1% 13.7 7 15.9 63.6 0.4 0.1 2.1 2.9 12.3 0.29 −6.7 16.3 11.6% −4.3%
K.Vidal LAC TEN 6300 11.4% 13.2 4 13.5 69.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 3.0 10.0 0.25 −4.0 12.8 8.1% −1.8%
D.Swift CHI CIN 6100 0.0% 15.9 7 14.3 66.3 0.6 0.1 2.6 3.4 27.4 0.14 −5.7 33.3 10.9% −2.2%
J.Dobbins DEN HOU 6000 3.9% 12.5 8 15.0 79.2 0.5 0.0 1.1 1.5 4.0 0.00 −3.9 6.5 4.4% −1.9%
C.Brown CIN CHI 5900 7.4% 12.0 8 12.1 47.9 0.2 0.1 3.1 3.9 15.8 0.12 2.1 16.6 11.4% 1.0%
R.Dowdle CAR GB 5800 3.5% 13.0 8 13.2 75.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 2.1 15.1 0.12 1.2 14.1 7.7% 0.7%
J.Mason MIN DET 5700 0.9% 10.6 7 12.6 54.7 0.6 0.3 1.4 1.7 5.3 0.00 −5.6 10.7 8.2% −3.7%
T.Etienne JAX LV 5600 6.8% 13.1 7 13.9 73.4 0.3 0.0 2.0 3.1 11.4 0.14 −8.1 16.1 8.7% −2.7%
A.Kamara NO LAR 5500 4.2% 10.2 8 12.5 45.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 3.9 18.4 0.00 4.9 18.4 11.1% 1.7%
J.Warren PIT IND 5500 13.7% 13.6 6 13.8 62.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 3.7 32.5 0.17 −2.7 34.2 12.5% −2.3%
R.Stevenson NE ATL 5400 0.0% 9.4 8 10.4 34.9 0.4 0.2 2.0 2.4 21.1 0.00 10.1 15.9 8.6% 4.5%
W.Marks HOU DEN 5400 3.2% 9.8 7 8.1 30.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 2.6 23.6 0.29 4.7 22.3 8.9% 2.4%
T.Pollard TEN LAC 5300 1.8% 10.2 8 13.6 53.0 0.2 0.2 2.2 2.8 16.4 0.00 0.9 15.1 8.7% 0.3%
C.Hubbard CAR GB 5300 0.5% 12.2 6 13.2 47.0 0.2 0.0 2.5 3.5 19.7 0.33 0.3 24.3 10.7% 0.2%
A.Jones MIN DET 5200 2.7% 7.7 3 6.0 20.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 2.7 19.7 0.33 3.7 16.7 11.3% 2.3%
I.Pacheco KC BUF 5200 0.0% 7.5 8 9.8 41.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 2.1 5.4 0.12 −4.1 8.9 7.1% −1.8%
T.Spears TEN LAC 5100 2.0% 8.6 4 5.8 31.5 0.2 0.0 2.5 2.8 15.0 0.00 −0.2 17.0 10.7% −0.1%
T.Tracy NYG SF 5100 12.4% 6.4 6 7.5 26.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 2.7 11.3 0.00 −2.7 12.5 12.9% −1.3%
D.Montgomery DET MIN 5000 5.2% 12.0 7 11.1 50.7 0.6 0.0 1.6 1.9 13.7 0.00 −0.9 13.9 6.7% −0.5%
R.Harvey DEN HOU 5000 0.6% 9.9 8 5.5 25.0 0.2 0.0 2.2 2.6 14.4 0.38 3.0 15.4 7.8% 1.2%
N.Chubb HOU DEN 4900 1.1% 8.5 7 11.4 45.9 0.3 0.0 1.4 2.1 7.7 0.00 0.7 8.3 6.6% 0.3%
T.Henderson NE ATL 4900 4.6% 6.6 8 6.6 28.5 0.1 0.1 2.0 2.2 12.4 0.00 −3.5 15.6 10.4% −2.1%
B.Corum LA NO 4800 0.4% 4.4 7 5.9 27.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 2.1 0.00 2.4 3.0 5.4% 1.2%
K.Hunt KC BUF 4700 8.0% 8.5 8 7.8 30.6 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.1 7.1 0.12 −0.4 7.5 3.8% −0.2%
T.Allgeier ATL NE 4700 0.6% 7.4 7 8.7 29.6 0.6 0.0 0.7 0.9 2.9 0.00 −0.7 2.9 4.9% −0.5%
K.Monangai CHI CIN 4600 17.0% 5.2 7 6.0 26.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.3 8.7 0.00 0.9 7.6 6.0% 0.5%
B.Tuten JAX LV 4600 0.6% 5.3 7 4.6 18.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.1 8.4 0.14 −0.9 10.3 4.5% −0.4%
K.Gainwell PIT IND 4500 2.1% 9.9 7 7.0 31.6 0.4 0.1 3.3 3.7 12.0 0.00 −2.7 15.7 13.1% −2.5%
D.Neal NO LAR 4500 0.3% 1.7 3 1.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.7 0.00 −1.7 5.3 6.0% −1.2%
S.Perine CIN CHI 4400 2.9% 4.8 7 4.4 27.6 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.3 4.3 0.00 −1.6 5.4 5.7% −1.0%
Z.Scott MIN DET 4400 0.0% 5.6 5 4.2 13.8 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.4 14.6 0.20 6.0 13.4 8.8% 4.7%
R.Davis BUF KC 4400 0.1% 2.2 7 3.1 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 2.6 0.14 0.4 3.3 4.1% 0.3%
J.Patterson LAC TEN 4300 0.0% 3.0 1 11.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

H.Haskins LAC TEN 4300 0.0% 2.8 3 4.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.3 4.3 0.00 −1.0 5.3 3.2% −0.4%
B.Robinson SF NYG 4300 0.1% 2.9 7 5.1 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 1.6 0.00 −0.6 2.9 5.5% −0.7%
R.Mostert LV JAX 4200 0.1% 2.8 4 4.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.2 0.00 0.8 2.5 5.4% 1.9%
E.Wilson GB CAR 4200 1.5% 5.0 6 5.8 27.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.5 9.5 0.00 −3.3 14.0 7.2% −2.4%
B.Smith KC BUF 4200 2.4% 4.8 7 3.6 10.7 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.6 17.4 0.00 −4.6 22.6 9.0% −3.3%
D.Singletary NYG SF 4100 1.1% 1.8 8 3.5 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 3.5 0.00 1.6 1.8 4.0% 1.2%
R.Johnson CHI CIN 4100 0.0% 0.8 2 1.0 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

L.Allen JAX LV 4100 0.0% 1.8 6 0.7 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 5.7 0.00 −0.5 4.8 3.2% −0.2%
A.Abdullah IND PIT 4000 0.0% 3.7 4 1.8 9.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 5.0 0.00 0.0 5.0 3.3% 0.0%
D.Ogunbowale HOU DEN 4000 0.0% 1.8 3 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 8.3 0.00 2.0 7.7 3.6% 0.7%
T.Johnson BUF KC 4000 0.2% 1.5 7 2.1 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.7 0.00 1.4 3.1 5.7% 1.1%
C.Reynolds DET MIN 4000 0.0% 0.4 1 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

A.Gibson NE ATL 4000 0.0% 4.6 5 5.0 21.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.00 −1.2 3.2 3.1% −0.9%
C.Akers MIN DET 4000 0.0% 3.6 2 2.5 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.00 −3.0 0.0 4.2% −3.2%
D.Dallas CAR GB 4000 0.0% 0.0 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

A.Prentice DEN HOU 4000 0.0% 0.6 5 0.6 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.00 −1.2 0.8 2.3% −1.5%
N.Harris LAC TEN 4000 0.0% 3.9 3 5.0 20.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.3 0.00 3.3 5.0 4.9% 1.7%
T.Badie DEN HOU 4000 0.0% 2.8 6 0.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.3 13.5 0.00 0.3 17.8 7.2% 0.1%
T.Goodson IND PIT 4000 0.0% 0.6 3 1.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.00 −0.3 0.3 3.1% −0.3%
D.Pierce HOU DEN 4000 0.0% 1.3 2 5.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.00 −2.0 0.0 3.7% −2.3%
J.Chestnut TEN LAC 4000 0.0% 0.7 5 1.6 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.00 4.4 0.0 3.3% 3.6%
Z.White LV JAX 4000 0.0% 2.5 3 3.3 8.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 6.3 0.00 0.0 5.3 7.1% 0.0%
K.Miller NO LAR 4000 0.0% 4.8 7 6.7 27.6 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.7 4.3 0.00 −0.7 5.0 3.8% −0.5%
C.Brooks GB CAR 4000 0.0% 1.6 5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.4 6.0 0.00 −1.4 8.4 6.2% −0.7%
J.McLaughlin DEN HOU 4000 0.0% 0.0 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.00 −5.0 0.0 3.8% −3.5%
J.Saylors DET MIN 4000 0.0% 1.1 1 2.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

D.Laube LV JAX 4000 0.0% 1.8 3 1.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 6.0 0.00 −2.0 8.0 4.6% −1.7%
B.Brooks HOU DEN 4000 0.0% 1.5 1 2.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

T.Jennings NE ATL 4000 0.5% 1.6 2 3.5 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

K.Johnson PIT IND 4000 0.0% 0.9 4 3.5 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.00 −0.8 0.0 4.5% −4.1%
D.Giddens IND PIT 4000 0.0% 1.6 4 4.5 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.00 −1.5 0.0 3.1% −1.8%
T.Brooks CIN CHI 4000 0.0% 1.7 1 5.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

N.Carter ATL NE 4000 0.0% 2.0 2 4.5 30.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

T.Etienne CAR GB 4000 0.0% 2.0 6 3.2 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.5 0.00 0.2 1.3 2.5% 0.2%
O.Hampton LAC TEN 4000 0.0% 15.4 5 13.2 62.8 0.4 0.0 4.0 4.4 27.2 0.00 −5.8 32.8 12.5% −2.2%
C.Skattebo NYG SF 4000 0.0% 16.0 8 12.6 51.2 0.6 0.1 3.0 4.0 25.9 0.25 −0.6 26.1 13.2% −0.3%
J.James SF NYG 4000 0.0%













K.Mullings TEN LAC 4000 0.0%













D.Hankins CHI CIN 4000 0.0%













K.Robichaux DET MIN 4000 0.0%













B.Lampe NE ATL 4000 0.0%













L.Larison NE ATL 4000 0.0%













J.Hunter LA NO 4000 0.0%













 

Top Plays:

Kyle Monangai ($4600)- He may set the record for highest ownership in a game this year at RB but its very hard to ignore a $4600 starting RB likely to get 20-25 touches in a 50+ total game vs the worst run defense in the NFL. If you are going to start Monangai you will have to find some contrarian plays in other spots to counter the heavy chalk.

Kimani Vidal ($6300)- There are a lot of options at RB but at a solid $6300 price and in a situation where Vidal is a 9 point favorite and the only healthy RB, I like him here. He saw 25 touches last week and was very effective. No stunner since they are always trailing but the Titans have given up the 2nd most DK points to RBs this season.

Christian McCaffery ($8800)-CMC is certainly viable any week of the season but he finally gets a breather from a defensive standpoint with this Giants defense. CMC has faced the single toughest schedule of opposing rush defenses in the NFL this season among RBs. His expected ypc has been just 3.93 and the only bottom 10 ypc defense he has faced this season has been the Falcons (23rd). In that game he ran it 24-129 yards and is the only game where he exceeded 69 rush yards this season. He also put up a season high 39 DK points in that game. On an opponent adjusted basis, he has not faced a single rush defense worse than 16th. This Giants run defense sits dead last at 6.1 ypc and have allowed an absurd 8.1 ypc on runs outside of the tackles.

 

Best Values:

Kareem Hunt ($4700)– Hunt is a very easy click for me this week at this price and a sub 10% projected ownership. I am sure Breshard Smith will get some additional work but this team trusts Hunt in such a high profile game like this. He gets a bad Bills run defense that ranks 31st in adjusted ypc and 32nd in yards after contact to RBs. He has a ton of TD equity as well.

Jahmyr Gibbs ($8000)- With so many cheaper options, grabbing Gibbs here at low projected ownership has a shot to be really +EV in large tournaments. The Vikings run defense has really struggled this season, ranking 23rd in explosive runs and 25th in rush yards over expected. Last season vs MIN, Gibbs went for 160 total yards, 4 receptions and 2 total TDs in one game and 170 total yards and 4 TDs in the other.

Wide Receivers

PLAYER TEAM OPP SALARY OWN% FPTS G REC TGTS REC YDS REC TDS REC AIR YDS REC YAC TGT SHR AIR YD SHR RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TDS
P.Nacua LA NO 8500 19.7% 23.1 6 9.0 10.8 102.7 0.33 104.7 37.0 31.7% 35.9% 0.5 8.7 0.2
J.Chase CIN CHI 8400 15.7% 21.3 8 8.8 12.4 90.0 0.62 100.9 44.5 36.4% 41.7% 0.2 0.8 0.0
A.St. Brown DET MIN 8300 13.4% 21.0 7 7.1 8.7 76.9 1.00 64.7 30.7 31.3% 34.1% 0.4 1.3 0.0
J.Jefferson MIN DET 7800 6.5% 15.4 7 5.9 9.0 86.0 0.14 102.9 35.9 29.9% 43.6% 0.1 0.6 0.0
R.Rice KC BUF 7600 11.6% 24.4 2 8.0 9.5 67.5 1.50 22.5 43.5 28.8% 11.0% 1.0 6.0 0.0
D.Adams LA NO 7500 6.6% 15.7 7 4.4 9.0 61.6 0.86 108.4 9.9 26.5% 35.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Collins HOU DEN 7100 6.5% 12.8 6 4.3 7.7 56.5 0.50 83.2 18.0 24.1% 33.9% 0.2 1.3 0.0
R.Odunze CHI CIN 6600 6.8% 15.5 7 4.4 8.0 67.6 0.71 108.0 21.7 25.5% 41.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Sutton DEN HOU 6500 3.8% 13.8 8 4.6 7.0 67.0 0.38 86.0 18.9 20.7% 33.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.London ATL NE 6400 9.2% 15.8 6 6.3 10.5 78.2 0.33 106.2 22.7 32.0% 40.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Thomas JAX LV 6200 6.9% 11.0 7 3.9 7.9 52.1 0.14 98.3 12.4 21.8% 32.7% 0.3 2.3 0.1
C.Olave NO LAR 6100 8.4% 14.8 8 6.5 10.4 62.9 0.38 102.4 14.8 29.7% 36.4% 0.1 −0.4 0.0
L.McConkey LAC TEN 6000 10.5% 13.5 8 5.4 8.5 58.5 0.38 74.9 19.5 23.3% 27.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Pittman IND PIT 5900 9.7% 15.7 8 5.4 7.0 55.8 0.75 56.5 20.1 23.3% 21.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Higgins CIN CHI 5900 6.1% 10.6 8 3.1 5.9 45.0 0.50 78.8 11.1 17.3% 32.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Addison MIN DET 5800 4.1% 16.0 4 5.2 7.5 77.2 0.50 94.0 22.0 20.5% 34.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.McMillan CAR GB 5800 6.5% 12.5 8 4.6 7.9 64.0 0.25 87.2 18.9 25.7% 41.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
S.Diggs NE ATL 5700 9.8% 11.9 8 5.2 6.1 58.8 0.12 47.4 21.4 22.3% 21.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Allen LAC TEN 5600 8.4% 15.0 8 6.0 8.8 59.9 0.50 73.8 17.0 24.0% 26.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
X.Worthy KC BUF 5600 5.8% 9.5 6 3.5 5.5 38.8 0.17 65.7 15.8 15.9% 26.9% 1.0 11.0 0.0
D.Metcalf PIT IND 5500 9.6% 14.7 7 3.9 6.1 65.9 0.71 64.9 38.4 21.7% 37.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q.Johnston LAC TEN 5400 4.0% 16.2 6 4.7 7.7 67.8 0.83 90.7 22.2 20.0% 30.6% 0.3 1.2 0.0
R.Pearsall SF NYG 5400 0.0% 13.1 4 5.0 7.2 81.8 0.00 116.0 6.2 19.7% 42.4% 0.2 −1.0 0.0
J.Meyers LV JAX 5300 5.4% 10.3 6 4.8 7.2 54.8 0.00 66.7 23.5 23.6% 30.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Shakir BUF KC 5300 9.6% 12.2 7 4.4 5.9 50.9 0.43 26.0 42.0 20.7% 12.5% 0.1 0.7 0.0
R.Doubs GB CAR 5200 5.7% 12.6 7 3.9 6.0 50.0 0.57 84.6 11.4 21.1% 38.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
R.Shaheed NO LAR 5100 5.1% 11.6 8 4.9 7.1 53.9 0.25 79.4 16.5 20.4% 28.2% 0.2 0.6 0.0
W.Robinson NYG SF 5100 10.2% 12.5 8 4.8 7.1 61.8 0.25 68.2 27.9 23.6% 24.6% 0.1 0.2 0.0
K.Bourne SF NYG 5000 2.5% 10.1 7 4.0 5.6 61.3 0.00 58.4 20.6 15.4% 21.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Boutte NE ATL 5000 3.4% 12.0 8 2.9 3.8 53.9 0.62 63.9 2.8 13.6% 28.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Franklin DEN HOU 4900 2.6% 12.0 8 4.1 6.8 44.8 0.50 74.8 21.9 20.0% 29.2% 0.2 1.6 0.0
J.Williams DET MIN 4800 7.1% 8.3 7 2.4 4.3 41.3 0.29 72.9 18.0 15.4% 38.4% 0.4 0.1 0.0
T.Tucker LV JAX 4800 4.2% 13.5 7 4.1 5.6 55.6 0.57 49.9 24.3 19.6% 25.1% 0.7 4.1 0.0
M.Golden GB CAR 4700 1.4% 7.3 7 3.0 3.7 36.1 0.00 41.9 11.0 13.1% 19.1% 1.1 6.4 0.0
T.Hunter JAX LV 4700 0.0% 9.1 7 4.0 6.4 42.6 0.14 50.6 20.0 17.9% 16.8% 0.1 0.0 0.0
C.Ridley TEN LAC 4600 0.0% 7.5 6 2.7 5.8 48.3 0.00 74.2 13.2 19.0% 28.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Pierce IND PIT 4600 2.9% 9.4 6 3.0 5.3 64.3 0.00 119.7 6.0 18.1% 47.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Reed GB CAR 4500 0.0% 13.5 1 3.0 5.0 45.0 1.00 70.0 14.0 22.7% 27.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Coleman BUF KC 4500 4.4% 9.1 7 3.9 5.6 38.1 0.29 57.1 6.1 19.7% 25.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Watson GB CAR 4400 2.8% 12.5 1 4.0 4.0 85.0 0.00 73.0 12.0 11.4% 36.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Downs IND PIT 4400 5.6% 9.5 7 4.1 5.3 36.6 0.29 37.1 9.4 17.8% 14.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Brown KC BUF 4300 1.1% 10.9 8 4.0 6.1 39.5 0.50 56.8 13.1 18.1% 21.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Jennings SF NYG 4300 9.2% 7.9 6 3.0 6.0 35.3 0.17 66.0 14.2 17.9% 24.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Kirk HOU DEN 4200 2.0% 7.0 3 3.3 5.3 36.3 0.00 53.7 15.3 16.8% 22.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Mooney ATL NE 4200 4.4% 5.4 5 2.2 5.0 31.6 0.00 77.8 5.4 16.2% 28.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Slayton NYG SF 4100 6.0% 5.2 6 2.3 3.8 32.0 0.00 54.2 14.2 12.6% 19.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Mims DEN HOU 4100 0.0% 7.8 8 2.8 4.0 29.2 0.12 50.4 16.6 11.9% 19.6% 0.9 6.8 0.1
C.Austin PIT IND 4000 4.1% 8.5 5 2.8 4.6 33.4 0.40 54.0 8.8 16.9% 36.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Noel HOU DEN 4000 0.7% 6.1 6 2.3 3.3 27.0 0.17 35.5 9.7 9.7% 13.2% 0.3 1.2 0.0
X.Hutchinson HOU DEN 3900 0.3% 8.0 7 2.6 3.4 27.4 0.43 33.1 7.1 10.5% 12.9% 0.1 0.7 0.0
X.Legette CAR GB 3900 2.6% 7.8 6 3.2 5.7 26.5 0.33 44.7 5.0 18.0% 19.5% 0.2 0.0 0.0
C.Dike TEN LAC 3900 5.0% 5.8 8 2.5 3.8 23.6 0.12 33.9 12.1 13.0% 14.3% 1.0 2.1 0.0
D.Brown JAX LV 3800 3.2% 7.3 6 2.7 4.5 32.3 0.17 58.5 4.0 12.2% 18.4% 0.7 3.7 0.0
E.Ayomanor TEN LAC 3800 4.8% 7.8 8 2.9 5.9 34.6 0.25 76.6 7.1 18.6% 29.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
L.Burden CHI CIN 3800 0.0% 5.2 7 1.9 2.1 24.4 0.14 15.6 12.7 6.8% 6.0% 0.3 0.9 0.0
D.Wicks GB CAR 3700 0.0% 4.4 6 2.2 3.3 22.3 0.00 44.7 5.0 12.2% 20.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
P.Washington JAX LV 3700 4.6% 8.4 6 2.8 5.8 34.5 0.17 80.2 12.7 15.7% 25.7% 0.7 1.5 0.0
J.Higgins HOU DEN 3700 0.7% 5.8 7 1.9 3.0 22.1 0.29 34.3 5.6 9.2% 13.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Hollins NE ATL 3600 2.9% 7.3 7 2.6 3.0 29.7 0.29 31.0 7.7 10.9% 13.8% 0.1 0.6 0.0
T.Thornton KC BUF 3600 0.1% 10.5 6 2.3 4.5 51.8 0.50 112.7 6.3 12.8% 39.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Coker CAR GB 3600 2.5% 3.3 2 1.5 3.0 18.0 0.00 28.0 4.0 11.1% 14.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Atwell LA NO 3500 0.0% 5.3 5 0.8 1.8 32.8 0.20 35.4 12.2 5.0% 11.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Douglas NE ATL 3500 0.7% 6.1 7 2.0 3.4 23.1 0.29 22.4 10.1 11.8% 9.5% 0.4 1.0 0.0
T.Harris LAC TEN 3500 0.2% 3.9 7 1.6 2.1 14.7 0.14 17.9 5.6 5.8% 6.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Smith-Schuster KC BUF 3400 0.7% 7.4 8 3.0 3.6 36.1 0.12 21.0 21.2 10.7% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Palmer BUF KC 3400 0.0% 6.2 6 2.3 3.3 39.0 0.00 46.7 6.8 11.4% 20.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Iosivas CIN CHI 3400 1.6% 4.8 6 1.8 4.0 28.3 0.00 38.7 7.5 10.8% 14.1% 0.2 0.8 0.0
J.Whittington LA NO 3400 1.0% 3.6 7 1.7 2.4 17.3 0.00 18.3 8.3 8.1% 6.8% 0.4 1.7 0.0
T.Lockett LV JAX 3300 0.0% 2.4 7 1.4 3.0 10.0 0.00 22.9 4.0 9.7% 9.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Samuel BUF KC 3300 0.4% 6.2 2 1.5 2.0 17.5 0.50 33.0 8.0 7.7% 14.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
O.Zaccheaus CHI CIN 3300 6.0% 6.6 7 3.6 5.4 26.4 0.00 33.9 9.3 17.3% 13.0% 0.6 3.6 0.0
J.Nailor MIN DET 3300 0.6% 5.5 7 1.9 3.7 23.1 0.14 37.7 6.0 12.3% 16.0% 0.1 2.1 0.0
R.Wilson PIT IND 3300 0.9% 6.2 4 2.0 2.5 27.5 0.25 30.0 6.8 8.0% 18.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Patrick JAX LV 3200 0.4% 2.7 6 0.7 1.0 10.5 0.17 10.3 5.0 2.7% 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
V.Jefferson TEN LAC 3200 2.3% 4.6 6 2.2 3.7 24.3 0.00 38.3 7.0 11.5% 16.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Heath GB CAR 3200 0.2% 4.2 3 1.7 1.7 25.0 0.00 17.3 7.7 5.1% 6.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Washington ATL NE 3200 0.0% 3.1 5 1.2 2.8 18.8 0.00 52.4 2.4 8.5% 18.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Cooks NO LAR 3100 0.3% 4.0 8 2.1 2.8 18.6 0.00 25.5 3.9 7.9% 9.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Robinson SF NYG 3100 0.7% 4.2 5 1.6 3.2 21.6 0.00 46.6 4.4 9.0% 16.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
E.Moore BUF KC 3100 0.4% 3.6 6 0.8 1.8 13.0 0.00 15.3 8.0 7.5% 8.5% 0.8 4.2 0.2
P.Bryant DEN HOU 3100 0.6% 4.3 5 1.4 2.8 17.2 0.20 20.4 5.0 8.0% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Bech LV JAX 3100 0.6% 2.9 5 1.4 2.0 14.6 0.00 15.6 4.2 7.4% 8.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Thielen MIN DET 3000 0.0% 1.9 6 0.8 2.0 7.8 0.00 19.0 0.3 6.8% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Raymond DET MIN 3000 0.2% 4.5 5 1.8 2.4 12.8 0.00 13.4 5.8 8.3% 6.1% 0.2 1.8 0.0
D.Moore CAR GB 3000 0.0% 1.4 2 0.5 0.5 2.5 0.00 2.5 0.0 4.2% 3.8% 0.5 6.0 0.0
J.Watson HOU DEN 3000 0.0% 3.0 2 1.5 2.0 15.0 0.00 16.5 7.0 8.0% 9.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Berrios HOU DEN 3000 0.0% 4.8 2 3.0 4.0 18.5 0.00 12.0 9.0 9.5% 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Sherfield DEN HOU 3000 0.0% 1.7 3 1.0 1.3 7.0 0.00 13.0 4.7 3.9% 5.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Hodge ATL NE 3000 0.4% 3.0 2 1.5 4.5 15.5 0.00 65.5 4.5 12.5% 23.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
H.Renfrow CAR GB 3000 0.0% 6.0 6 2.5 4.3 14.8 0.33 32.3 4.0 13.6% 15.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Dulin IND PIT 3000 0.0% 3.0 4 1.0 1.8 14.5 0.00 24.8 2.8 7.7% 11.9% 0.5 5.5 0.0
S.Miller PIT IND 3000 0.0% 0.9 2 0.5 1.0 4.5 0.00 3.5 5.0 3.6% 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Sills ATL NE 3000 0.1% 2.6 2 1.5 2.5 11.5 0.00 33.0 4.5 7.0% 11.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
L.Humphrey NYG SF 3000 0.9% 4.8 2 2.0 5.0 27.5 0.00 73.0 1.0 16.9% 25.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Bachman LV JAX 3000 0.0% 0.9 2 0.5 1.0 4.5 0.00 5.5 1.0 2.9% 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Duvernay CHI CIN 3000 0.2% 1.2 1 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.00 48.0 0.0 8.6% 15.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Skowronek PIT IND 3000 0.0% 3.8 3 0.7 1.0 11.7 0.33 8.7 6.7 3.6% 6.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
S.Moore SF NYG 3000 0.1% 0.9 5 0.4 0.8 5.0 0.00 11.8 3.6 3.1% 5.6% 0.2 0.2 0.0
X.Smith LA NO 3000 0.2% 4.0 2 1.5 2.0 25.5 0.00 45.0 3.5 6.6% 15.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Remigio KC BUF 3000 0.0% 2.1 2 0.5 0.5 10.5 0.00 9.0 1.5 3.4% 5.8% 0.5 5.5 0.0
D.Davis LAC TEN 3000 0.0% 0.2 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

1.0 2.5 0.0
T.Shavers BUF KC 3000 0.5% 2.5 4 1.2 2.5 12.8 0.00 29.2 5.2 9.3% 15.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Wayne HOU DEN 3000 0.0% 4.0 1 2.0 2.0 20.0 0.00 17.0 3.0 5.3% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Tinsley CIN CHI 3000 0.0% 3.4 3 0.7 1.3 7.3 0.33 13.3 1.7 4.4% 7.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Tremayne CAR GB 3000 0.0% 5.0 4 2.2 3.0 27.0 0.00 27.2 10.0 8.8% 12.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Hyatt NYG SF 3000 0.0% 1.6 3 1.0 3.0 5.7 0.00 65.0 0.7 9.2% 21.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Nabers NYG SF 3000 0.0% 14.3 4 4.5 8.8 67.8 0.50 138.8 13.0 28.7% 51.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Vele NO LAR 3000 0.0% 3.7 4 1.2 2.5 9.8 0.25 24.2 2.2 6.4% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Tipton NO LAR 3000 0.0% 0.0 2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.00 14.0 0.0 2.5% 3.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Oliver TEN LAC 3000 0.0% 1.8 1 1.0 1.0 8.0 0.00 6.0 2.0 4.0% 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Gould IND PIT 3000 0.0% 1.3 1 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.00 3.0 0.0 3.1% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Mitchell IND PIT 3000 0.0% 3.2 7 1.1 2.1 20.7 0.00 35.9 7.3 7.1% 13.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
S.Williams GB CAR 3000 0.0% 2.8 6 0.8 0.8 5.2 0.17 −2.3 7.5 5.4% −2.1% 1.2 4.7 0.0
K.Williams NE ATL 3000 0.1% 0.8 5 0.4 1.0 4.0 0.00 14.6 0.2 3.9% 7.1% 0.2 −0.4 0.0
T.Felton MIN DET 3000 0.0% 1.9 1 1.0 1.0 9.0 0.00 7.0 2.0 4.2% 3.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Watkins SF NYG 3000 0.1% 1.7 1 1.0 2.0 7.0 0.00 24.0 1.0 6.5% 7.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Lambert-Smith LAC TEN 3000 0.0% 0.6 2 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.00 23.5 1.5 4.2% 8.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Horn CAR GB 3000 0.1% 3.8 4 1.2 2.0 16.2 0.00 23.0 7.2 7.8% 11.8% 1.5 9.2 0.0
B.Collins NYG SF 3000 0.0% 1.5 3 0.7 2.0 8.3 0.00 24.3 2.0 6.4% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Thornton LV JAX 3000 0.1% 2.4 6 0.8 3.2 15.7 0.00 58.7 3.8 10.8% 26.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Mumpfield LA NO 3000 0.0% 4.6 2 1.0 1.5 6.0 0.50 10.5 3.5 5.1% 3.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
I.TeSlaa DET MIN 3000 1.6% 4.1 5 0.6 1.2 10.8 0.40 19.6 0.4 4.2% 10.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Lovett DET MIN 3000 0.0%












J.Walker CHI CIN 3000 0.0%












D.Felton NYG SF 3000 0.0%












M.Price MIN DET 3000 0.0%












K.Williams PIT IND 3000 0.0%












E.Chism NE ATL 3000 0.0%












J.Royals KC BUF 3000 0.0%












Top Plays:

Ja’Marr Chase ($8400)- If Flacco plays then Chase is easily the top play at WR vs a bad Bears secondary. He has seen an insane 42 targets the last two games. Without Flacco then you can’t rely on Browning to get him the ball.

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8300)- The most steady elite WR you will find outside of Puka Nacua. No receiver in the NFL has been targeted at a higher rate vs the blitz than ASB and obviously that is important vs a Brian Flores defense.

Michael Pittman ($5900)- I could pepper these lists with Colts for Sunday and I will. The Colts rank 7th in EPA on throws over the middle of the field while the Steelers sit 29th in EPA allowed on the most targets. Pittman dominates the WR targets over the middle of the field for the Colts. This is a cheap price for a #1 WR in a shootout like this.

DK Metcalf ($5500)- DK ranks #1 in the NFL in yac over expected and is facing a Colts defense that has allowed the 8th most yac over expected on defense this season. The Colts have not faced a single WR inside the top 20 in yac so this is certainly a test for a weak secondary. I like Rodgers and this passing game a lot and the Colts are 30th in opponent adjusted DK points over expected at WR.

Jajuan Jennings ($4300)- Jennings has struggled this season off injury but he finally gets a poor pass defense with the Giants missing multiple starting CBs. No Pearsall this week so Jennings has a shot to break out.

 

Best Values:

Darius Slayton ($4100)- Slayton came back into the lineup last week and saw a significant 23% target share and 31% air yard share. He left a decent amount of yardage thru the air but he should find success against this bad Niners pass defense. Robinson will get much of the ownership at WR but his big play ability gives him nice upside.

Parker Washington ($3700)- Washington is right on the edge of expected ownership which would make him value but his price is super cheap. No Travis Hunter and both Brian Thomas and Dyami Brown are banged up. They face a pass funnel in the Raiders and volume alone should get Washington to pay off this number easily.

Darnell Mooney ($4200)- Mooney has been terrible this season but I am chalking that up to post injury recovery and not having London on the other side when he was finally fully healthy last week. Now Penix is back and with Gonzalez likely shadowing London on the other side, Mooney should have plenty of looks. The Pats pass defense ranks 27th in ypa vs the easiest set of opposing pass offenses. They also rank 30th in explosive pass rate allowed so Mooney has a shot at some big ones.

Tight Ends

PLAYER TEAM OPP SALARY OWN% FPTS G REC TGTS REC YDS REC TDS REC AIR YDS REC YAC TGT SHR AIR YD SHR RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TDS
T.Kraft GB CAR 5700 6.1% 16.2 7 4.3 5.9 67.0 0.86 26.4 48.0 20.6% 12.4% 0.1 0.4 0.0
T.Warren IND PIT 5500 6.1% 13.8 8 4.6 6.2 61.5 0.38 39.1 36.6 20.8% 15.1% 0.5 0.8 0.1
O.Gadsden LAC TEN 5300 4.5% 12.6 6 4.5 5.5 64.2 0.33 44.2 23.3 14.3% 16.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Bowers LV JAX 5000 6.4% 10.9 4 4.8 6.8 56.2 0.00 43.5 33.5 22.0% 16.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
G.Kittle SF NYG 4800 6.2% 8.9 3 2.7 3.7 22.7 0.67 21.3 5.7 12.4% 8.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Kelce KC BUF 4600 5.6% 12.8 8 4.6 6.0 59.2 0.38 33.5 32.5 17.7% 12.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
S.LaPorta DET MIN 4300 6.4% 10.7 7 4.1 5.1 48.4 0.29 29.0 26.1 18.5% 15.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
K.Pitts ATL NE 4200 4.9% 11.3 7 5.6 6.7 49.1 0.14 37.9 22.0 20.7% 14.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Kincaid BUF KC 4000 3.8% 11.7 6 3.5 4.5 51.7 0.50 42.5 22.0 15.7% 20.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
E.Engram DEN HOU 3900 2.8% 7.7 7 3.7 5.3 30.7 0.14 22.9 19.0 15.0% 8.8% 0.1 1.0 0.0
H.Henry NE ATL 3700 5.0% 10.1 8 3.1 4.6 39.6 0.50 39.6 14.9 16.8% 17.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Schultz HOU DEN 3600 4.0% 9.0 7 4.6 5.7 44.0 0.00 35.0 20.4 17.5% 13.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Mayer LV JAX 3500 0.6% 5.7 5 2.4 3.2 21.4 0.20 10.2 14.0 11.2% 4.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Johnson NYG SF 3500 4.6% 8.5 8 2.9 4.6 26.5 0.50 29.0 12.8 15.3% 10.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Smith PIT IND 3400 4.3% 6.9 7 3.1 4.1 19.1 0.29 16.1 15.6 14.6% 9.2% 0.1 1.4 0.0
T.Hockenson MIN DET 3400 4.1% 7.9 7 3.9 5.1 31.7 0.14 21.1 18.1 17.1% 9.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Fant CIN CHI 3300 3.6% 8.7 6 3.8 4.2 32.0 0.33 12.5 19.5 11.9% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Loveland CHI CIN 3300 2.9% 3.8 6 1.8 3.0 19.3 0.00 27.8 7.5 9.8% 10.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Johnson NO LAR 3200 5.5% 9.6 8 4.5 6.5 46.0 0.12 46.9 21.2 18.6% 16.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Okonkwo TEN LAC 3200 2.5% 6.8 8 3.4 4.6 33.9 0.00 21.4 21.9 14.6% 8.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Kmet CHI CIN 3100 0.4% 4.7 6 1.5 3.2 22.0 0.17 35.7 6.3 10.3% 14.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
P.Freiermuth PIT IND 3100 2.1% 8.0 6 2.7 3.5 33.3 0.33 24.7 14.0 11.9% 12.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Higbee LA NO 3000 1.3% 6.2 5 2.6 4.2 24.2 0.20 3.6 14.4 12.8% 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Tonges SF NYG 3000 0.1% 10.4 7 3.7 5.0 32.3 0.57 23.1 18.4 13.3% 7.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Washington PIT IND 2900 1.1% 6.3 4 2.2 3.5 21.0 0.25 24.2 13.2 12.2% 12.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
G.Helm TEN LAC 2900 1.4% 5.3 8 2.4 3.0 21.5 0.12 21.0 7.6 9.5% 8.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
H.Long JAX LV 2800 2.4% 5.2 6 1.8 2.3 13.2 0.33 8.8 5.0 6.6% 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Sanders CAR GB 2800 2.1% 5.0 5 2.8 3.8 22.2 0.00 24.0 10.2 11.5% 10.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Hooper NE ATL 2700 0.7% 4.8 7 1.7 1.9 22.0 0.14 14.1 10.3 6.8% 6.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Gray KC BUF 2600 0.7% 3.0 7 1.6 2.9 14.0 0.00 17.3 9.1 8.7% 7.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Bellinger NYG SF 2600 0.0% 6.1 6 1.8 2.0 32.3 0.17 26.5 8.8 6.8% 10.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Manhertz NYG SF 2500 0.1% 1.7 1 1.0 1.0 7.0 0.00 1.0 6.0 3.3% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Alie-Cox IND PIT 2500 0.0% 2.2 4 1.0 1.5 12.5 0.00 2.8 10.5 4.8% 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Mundt JAX LV 2500 0.9% 1.3 6 0.7 1.7 6.2 0.00 7.8 3.2 4.7% 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
W.Dissly LAC TEN 2500 0.1% 2.1 4 1.0 1.2 10.8 0.00 4.5 8.5 3.3% 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Conklin LAC TEN 2500 0.1% 3.4 4 1.2 2.0 20.8 0.00 9.0 12.0 5.4% 3.3% 0.2 0.5 0.0
I.Thomas LV JAX 2500 0.1% 3.2 2 2.0 2.0 12.0 0.00 3.0 9.0 6.8% 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Schultz HOU DEN 2500 0.0% 9.0 7 4.6 5.7 44.0 0.00 35.0 20.4 17.5% 13.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Hudson CIN CHI 2500 0.0% 6.4 2 2.5 3.5 9.5 0.50 6.5 7.0 9.6% 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Gesicki CIN CHI 2500 0.0% 2.8 5 1.6 3.2 12.2 0.00 26.6 2.2 10.4% 11.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
F.Moreau NO LAR 2500 0.0% 0.9 2 0.5 1.0 4.5 0.00 −2.0 3.0 2.6% −0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Hockenson MIN DET 2500 0.0% 7.9 7 3.9 5.1 31.7 0.14 21.1 18.1 17.1% 9.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Oliver MIN DET 2500 0.0% 4.6 5 1.0 1.4 12.2 0.40 3.4 8.2 4.4% 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Sample CIN CHI 2500 0.6% 2.7 5 1.0 1.8 4.8 0.20 −0.2 4.4 5.2% −0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Fant CIN CHI 2500 0.0% 8.7 6 3.8 4.2 32.0 0.33 12.5 19.5 11.9% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Knox BUF KC 2500 1.4% 3.8 6 1.3 2.2 14.7 0.17 15.0 7.0 7.6% 6.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
H.Bryant HOU DEN 2500 0.1% 0.5 3 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.00 18.7 0.0 4.3% 7.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Parkinson LA NO 2500 0.1% 2.7 4 1.8 2.0 14.5 0.00 9.2 7.2 5.4% 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Trautman DEN HOU 2500 0.1% 4.7 4 1.8 2.0 14.5 0.25 6.5 9.0 5.5% 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Woerner ATL NE 2500 0.0% 0.2 2 0.5 1.0 −2.5 0.00 −3.0 0.0 2.6% −0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Stoll NO LAR 2500 0.0% 3.0 4 0.8 1.5 7.0 0.25 7.5 2.5 4.1% 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Stoll NO LAR 2500 0.0% 3.0 4 0.8 1.5 7.0 0.25 7.5 2.5 4.1% 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Wright DET MIN 2500 0.2% 8.7 3 2.7 3.0 20.0 0.67 4.7 14.0 11.4% 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
F.Franks ATL NE 2500 0.0% 0.2 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0

1.0 2.0 0.0
L.Farrell SF NYG 2500 0.1% 3.4 5 1.4 1.8 11.6 0.20 4.8 8.0 5.0% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Tremble CAR GB 2500 0.5% 4.6 8 2.2 2.8 16.2 0.12 10.5 10.0 9.0% 7.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Mitchell CAR GB 2500 0.0% 2.9 2 1.5 1.5 14.0 0.00 3.5 10.5 5.1% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
A.Ogletree IND PIT 2500 0.0% 0.0 1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.00 5.0 0.0 3.6% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Heyward PIT IND 2500 0.0% 2.5 4 0.5 0.8 4.5 0.25 6.8 0.2 3.2% 4.0% 0.2 0.5 0.0
J.FitzPatrick GB CAR 2500 0.0% 3.3 4 1.2 1.2 6.0 0.25 2.2 3.8 4.5% 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Z.Mitchell-Paden NO LAR 2500 0.0% 0.6 2 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.00 2.0 0.0 4.2% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0
L.Krull DEN HOU 2500 0.0% 1.8 2 1.0 2.0 7.5 0.00 10.0 2.0 6.7% 4.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Fisk LAC TEN 2500 0.0% 0.0 2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.00 12.0 0.0 2.4% 3.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Adkins DEN HOU 2500 0.0% 3.4 5 1.2 2.0 9.6 0.20 5.8 5.2 5.6% 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
N.Adkins DEN HOU 2500 0.0% 3.4 5 1.2 2.0 9.6 0.20 5.8 5.2 5.6% 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Strange JAX LV 2500 0.0% 8.1 5 4.0 4.8 40.8 0.00 26.6 20.6 14.7% 10.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Allen LA NO 2500 0.2% 3.7 7 1.1 1.4 8.4 0.29 9.0 3.1 4.2% 4.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
L.Musgrave GB CAR 2500 0.3% 2.3 5 1.2 1.4 10.8 0.00 14.0 2.4 4.8% 5.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Stover HOU DEN 2500 0.0% 6.2 1 4.0 4.0 22.0 0.00 9.0 13.0 14.8% 5.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Grandy CIN CHI 2500 0.0% 1.6 1 1.0 1.0 6.0 0.00 −2.0 8.0 3.8% −1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Grandy CIN CHI 2500 0.0% 1.6 1 1.0 1.0 6.0 0.00 −2.0 8.0 3.8% −1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.Martin-Robinson TEN LAC 2500 0.0% 7.1 1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.00 1.0 0.0 2.9% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0
M.Evans CAR GB 2500 0.1% 5.0 6 1.5 1.8 15.0 0.33 7.7 8.5 5.9% 3.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.Hawes BUF KC 2500 0.1% 3.8 5 1.2 1.4 13.8 0.20 11.2 5.2 4.9% 5.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
C.Runyon LV JAX 2500 0.0% 1.3 1 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.00 −3.0 6.0 5.9% −5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Yurosek MIN DET 2500 0.1% 1.5 1 1.0 2.0 5.0 0.00 6.0 5.0 6.7% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
B.Yurosek MIN DET 2500 0.0% 1.5 1 1.0 2.0 5.0 0.00 6.0 5.0 6.7% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0
T.Ferguson LA NO 2500 0.2% 4.4 3 0.7 1.3 17.3 0.33 34.3 1.0 5.1% 11.6% 0.3 0.0 0.0
J.Briningstool KC BUF 2500 0.0%












G.Bartholomew MIN DET 2500 0.0%












T.Fidone NYG SF 2500 0.0%












B.Nesbit MIN DET 2500 0.0%












Top Plays:

Tyler Warren ($5500)- Already discussed this matchup in the QB section with Daniel Jones but Warren should be at the top of everyone’s TE list this week. The matchup is incredible vs a Steelers pass defense that won’t have either starting S in the lineup this week and already allows the 2nd most DK points over expected to TEs. Just an easy click if willing to pay up a bit at the position. We saw how dominant Tucker Kraft was last week against these Steelers.

Kyle Pitts ($4200)- If you wanted to stack a cheap QB like Penix, Pitts is a decent option. The Pats are a pass funnel defense and if Gonzalez slows down London, Pitts is a strong option for him. The Pats have allowed 69% of opposing TEs to score more DK points than their season average, tied for 2nd most in the NFL.

 

Value Plays:

Theo Johnson ($3500)- Theo is a nice value option for Dart against a beat up and poor Niners defense. He has seen a 15%+ target share in five straight games and seems to be a favorite option for Dart.

Dalton Kincaid ($4000)- Kincaid has been hurt and then did not do much in his return last week. But he is due for a strong game bc the Bills will need him vs KC. The Chiefs have played a lot more single high safety coverage of late and Kincaid has been effective against that coverage (3.4 yards per route vs single high). He has also been a strong option for Allen when blitzed which is important considering how often Spags sends the blitz generally. Last year he was tied with the highest target share vs the blitz.